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Tuesday, November 4, 2014

Ebola: What We Have Seen So Far May Be Just the Beginning

Ebola Just The Beginning


What do Charles Darwin, Linus Pauling, Albert Einstein, Lord Kelvin and Fred Hoyle all have in common? They all had committed colossal errors in their scientific studies; they all believed something to be true when in fact it was not.


“US scientists state uncertainties loom about Ebola’s transmission, other key facts about the disease need further research before any definitive answers can be found” (Reuters, 2014).


The government insists we all listen to the science when it comes to Ebola, well as we all know science has been wrong before, many times before.


“Some of the things that experts are worried about include Ebola virus penetration through “intact skin”. Medical experts know that a person can become infected if the bodily fluid of an infected person enters through a break in their skin.


What does it mean if the Ebola virus can penetrate intact skin however, in other words a person may not need to have a break in the skin for the virus to enter the body through the skin.”


Can simple contact with exposed skin allow the virus to enter the body? No one really knows, yet.


“The possibility of this happening has not been definitively ruled out, according to hemorrhagic-fever expert Thomas Ksiarek of the University of Texas Medical Branch (UTMB), who co-led a session on Ebola’s transmission routes” (Reuters, 2014).


Other experts question whether the Ebola virus can be spread by those who may not be showing symptoms. Public health officials in the United States and elsewhere insist it cannot. However, according to Dr. Andrew Pavia, chief of pediatric infectious diseases at the University of Utah the possibility of “subclinical transmissions” remains very much an open question.


Experts also wonder whether the “infectious dose” is dependent upon how it enters the body. Additionally, the period between exposure and symptoms appearing is called into question as well. Some believe it may have to do with what fluids a person may have contact with from an infected person. For example, is the incubation period longer if someone contacts the saliva versus the blood of an infected person?


According to Dr. C.J. Peters, who is a field virologist at UTMB estimates that “5 percent of people” can show symptoms, and be in fact infected, and ultimately pass the virus along after an incubation period of three weeks has passed.”


Another question is at what temperature patients start “shedding” the virus. This is not definitively known, said Dr. Michael Hodgson, chief medical officer of the Occupational Safety and Health Administration. Most believe it is when the body temperature of an infected person reaches 100.4ᵒ F (38ᵒ C). When a patient sheds, the virus is when others can become infected if they are exposed to bodily fluids.


Another question and possibly huge problem is whether the virus can survive in sewers. This question is posed by Paul Lemieux of the National Homeland Security Research Center at the Environmental Protection Agency. “Can rats pick up the virus and carry it, and ultimately spread it to humans and other animals” the question remains unanswered.


There are questions, and some claim to have the answers. However, when it comes to life and death the answers have to be correct, and some fear they may not be.


Much of what has been stated above is opinion, based on observation and certain studies, but it is well worth your time to contemplate what you have just read. What we all know is that to get the virus you have to make contact with it, so your first line of defense as stated in previous articles, is seclusion, as much as possible anyway.


The facts are if you do contract the virus you cannot treat yourself or treat a family member so your focus has to be on not contracting the virus in the first place. The reality is that you will not likely contract the virus, but the fear Ebola has instilled in your community and country is real and it can cause you and everyone else problems. Communities will react when and if someone in the community is infected with the virus and this will cause you problems that you must prepare for now.


The chances of you contracting the virus is extremely low to the point it is almost impossible but take nothing for granted and know who, what, when and where. Once again, seclusion is your best defense.


The problem with science and diseases is that they both change they both evolve over time. The Ebola virus may or may not adapt, mutate if you will, but then again it might very well mutate into something even more deadly, all speculation at this point of course, but everyone has to assume the worst case so they can at least try to prepare.


The problem is that no one knows what they do not know, and the fear is that one-day soon medical experts may say, “oops we got it all wrong” and back to the drawing board. A game changer for sure, but it has happened in the past with various other diseases and other scientific certainties that turned out not to be so certain after all.


Resources:


http://b4in.us/1wuGywg


Reuters. (2014, November 04). Retrieved November 2014, from http://b4in.us/1x3oRTj


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